Love a violin plot! Thanks for this - gives you a good sense of which games have some value over the next few months. Speaking of which, which games are likely to be the most pivotal?
It is a great question. The tool does not currently track the game outcomes (it only updates the rankings and moves on), so it is difficult to pinpoint exactly which games had the most impact.
It is very team-specific. For instance Ireland will play New Zealand, Japan, Australia and finally South Africa. Based on the current rankings, they cannot earn any points against Japan or Australia, so only wins against the top-2 teams can improve their rankings. For Australia and Argentina, because they are so close (both in the current rankings and in my results), the two games they play against each other will be very important.
Love a violin plot! Thanks for this - gives you a good sense of which games have some value over the next few months. Speaking of which, which games are likely to be the most pivotal?
It is a great question. The tool does not currently track the game outcomes (it only updates the rankings and moves on), so it is difficult to pinpoint exactly which games had the most impact.
It is very team-specific. For instance Ireland will play New Zealand, Japan, Australia and finally South Africa. Based on the current rankings, they cannot earn any points against Japan or Australia, so only wins against the top-2 teams can improve their rankings. For Australia and Argentina, because they are so close (both in the current rankings and in my results), the two games they play against each other will be very important.